Dwarkesh Podcast

May 1, 2025 10m

What will automated firms look like?

Based on my essay about AI firms. Huge thanks to Petr and his team for bringing this to life! Watch on YouTube. Thanks to Google for sponsoring. We used thei...

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Apr 29, 2025 1h 15m

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Zuck on: * Llama 4, benchmark gaming * Intelligence explosion, business models for AGI * DeepSeek/China, export controls, & Trump * Orion glasses, AI relatio...

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Apr 24, 2025 1h 23m

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

800 years before the Black Death, the very same bacteria ravaged Rome, killing 60%+ of the population in many areas. Also, back-to-back volcanic eruptions ca...

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Apr 17, 2025 3h 8m

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu have 2045+ timelines, think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong, don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible, but are...

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Apr 3, 2025 3h 4m

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Scott and Daniel break down every month from now until the 2027 intelligence explosion. Scott Alexander is author of the highly influential blogs Slate Star ...

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Mar 25, 2025 49m

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

I recorded an AMA! I had a blast chatting with my friends Trenton Bricken and Sholto Douglas. We discussed my new book, career advice given AGI, how I pick g...

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Mar 12, 2025 1h 52m

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Humans have not succeeded because of our raw intelligence. Marooned European explorers regularly starved to death in areas where foragers thrived for 1000s o...

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Mar 5, 2025 19m

Notes on China

I’m so excited with how this visualization of Notes on China turned out. Petr, thank you for such beautiful watercolor artwork. More to come! Watch on YouTub...

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Feb 19, 2025 1h 16m

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Satya Nadella on: Why he doesn’t believe in AGI but does believe in 10% economic growth; Microsoft’s new topological qubit breakthrough and gaming world mo...

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Feb 12, 2025 2h 14m

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

This week I welcome on the show two of the most important technologists ever, in any field. Jeff Dean is Google's Chief Scientist, and through 25 years at th...

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Jan 30, 2025 1h 48m

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Third and final episode in the Paine trilogy! Chinese history is full of warlords constantly challenging the capital. How could Mao not only stay in power fo...

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Jan 23, 2025 2h 8m

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

This is the second episode in the trilogy of a lectures by Professor Sarah Paine of the Naval War College. In this second episode, Prof Paine dissects the id...

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Jan 16, 2025 2h 12m

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

I’m thrilled to launch a new trilogy of double episodes: a lecture series by Professor Sarah Paine of the Naval War College, each followed by a deep Q&A. In ...

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Jan 9, 2025 59m

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

I interviewed Tyler Cowen at the Progress Conference 2024. As always, I had a blast. This is my fourth interview with him – and yet I’m always hearing new st...

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Dec 26, 2024 2h 43m

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

Adam Brown is a founder and lead of BlueShift with is cracking maths and reasoning at Google DeepMind and a theoretical physicist at Stanford. We discuss: de...

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Nov 13, 2024 1h 36m

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the mo...

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Oct 2, 2024 2h 9m

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

A bonanza on the semiconductor industry and hardware scaling to AGI by the end of the decade. Dylan Patel runs Semianalysis, the leading publication and rese...

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Sep 18, 2024 1h 27m

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

Unless you understand the history of oil, you cannot understand the rise of America, WW1, WW2, secular stagnation, the Middle East, Ukraine, how Xi and Putin...

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Aug 29, 2024 1h 56m

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

I had no idea how wild human history was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich. Human history has been again and again a story of on...

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Aug 22, 2024 2h 30m

Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

Chatted with Joe Carlsmith about whether we can trust power/techno-capital, how to not end up like Stalin in our urge to control the future, gentleness towar...

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Jul 24, 2024 2h 1m

Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

I talked with Patrick McKenzie (known online as patio11) about how a small team he ran over a Discord server got vaccines into Americans' arms: A story of br...

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Jun 26, 2024 52m

Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

I chatted with Tony Blair about: - What he learned from Lee Kuan Yew - Intelligence agencies track record on Iraq & Ukraine - What he tells the dozens of wor...

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Jun 11, 2024 1h 33m

Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

Here is my conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they're launching today. I did a bunch of socratic grilling thro...

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Jun 4, 2024 4h 31m

Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner on the trillion dollar nationalized cluster, CCP espionage at AI labs, how unhobblings and scaling can lead to 2...

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May 15, 2024 1h 35m

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

Chatted with John Schulman (cofounded OpenAI and led ChatGPT creation) on how posttraining tames the shoggoth, and the nature of the progress to come... Watc...

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Apr 18, 2024 1h 17m

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

Mark Zuckerberg on: - Llama 3 - open sourcing towards AGI - custom silicon, synthetic data, & energy constraints on scaling - Caesar Augustus, intelligence e...

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Mar 28, 2024 3h 12m

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

Had so much fun chatting with my good friends Trenton Bricken and Sholto Douglas on the podcast. No way to summarize it, except: This is the best context du...

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Feb 28, 2024 1h 1m

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

Here is my episode with Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind We discuss: * Why scaling is an artform * Adding search, planning, & AlphaZero type training a...

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Feb 21, 2024 1h 54m

Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

We discuss: * what it takes to process $1 trillion/year * how to build multi-decade APIs, companies, and relationships * what's next for Stripe (increasing t...

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Jan 31, 2024 1h 42m

Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

It was a great pleasure speaking with Tyler Cowen for the 3rd time. We discussed GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?, esp...

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All Episodes

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Notes on China

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

Full transcripts, AI insights,
episode chat — free.

Dwarkesh Podcast

All Episodes

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Notes on China

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

Full transcripts, AI insights,episode chat — free.

Full transcripts, AI insights,
episode chat — free.